Monday, March 4, 2013

Who Will Be the Tigers' Biggest Underachiever?

While we are always wondering who will have the big breakout year I got to thinking about who might be due to really let us down this season.  With Brandon Inge and Ryan Raburn long gone this is a little harder than I thought it would be.  However, there is one logical candidate whose under performance continues to fly under the radar (ugh, I hate using the same word in a sentence twice).  Here is our disappointment's stats from last year courtesy of baseball reference:
  • .243 BA (down .052 points from the previous year)
  • .352 OBP (down .037 points from the previous year)
  • .736 OPS (down .159 points from the previous year)
  • 9 HR (down 10 from the previous year)
  • 48 RBI (down 34 from the previous year)
Any idea who it could be?  Well, the disappointment in question is Alex Avila.  Don't get me wrong, I like Avila I'm just not sure why.  He is an average defensive catcher but other than one hot offensive stretch two years ago he has been relatively ineffective.  Perhaps the most frustrating thing of all is that he never seems to show any emotion or sense of urgency.  Yet, he is continually penciled in as the starter and no one seems to talk about his job security...although we can't hand the left field job to a guy in Andy Dirks who hit almost .320 last year, plays above average defense, and has a little speed that the Tigers desperately crave (myself included). Is anyone else set to really let Tiger fans down?  Here is my list of the Top 5 Most Likely to Disappoint:
  1. Alex Avila - For all the reasons mentioned above.
  2. Bruce Rondon - The rookie has looked shaky in Spring Training thus far and if he is handed the ball on opening day with a chance to close this could be a long season.
  3. Andy Dirks - He had a great year last year but all mediocre players come back to reality relatively quickly. Just ask the aforementioned Avila and Jhonny Peralta.  One good season does not an everyday player make.
  4. Jhonny Peralta - His range is gone and his arm is weak.  He'll make the routine play but that's about it.  If he hits over .260 and 12 HRs I would be absolutely shocked.  If the Tigers had ANYONE in the minors capable of playing shortstop Jhonny's option would not have been picked up.
  5. Torii Hunter - I was mildly excited about the Hunter signing but he is older than Magglio at the end.  I know he is more athletic and hit over .300 last year but he also had the highest BABIP in the majors.  I'd rather have him than Boesch but that's not saying much.
I thought about including a superstar like Verlander, Fielder, or Cabrera...and then I thought better of it.   A mediocre season from them is still better than most.


  1. Andy Dirks his going to put on an epic hitting display this season.

  2. Due to Bryan's track record when it comes to predicting a player to have a break out year, I will say Dirks is going to hit .005 and then get hit by a bus half way through the season.


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